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>>573
>There's no conspiracy to it.
This is the status quo: China and the US vie for dominance in Southeast Asian trade; Japan does what it can to hurt China and benefit the US but China is gradually winning; the DPRK stris things up with "strategic provocations" (breaking promises, making threats, and conducting weapons tests).
China gains ground, Japan loses profitability, the US feels economically threatened. At the same time, the DPRK revs up a weapons development program and anti-west rhetoric; Japan feels threatened, and purchases large amounts of military hardware from the US and debates repealing of Article 9 of their pacifist constitution. As soon as the check clears, the DPRK calms down, China continues to slowly gain ground, the US gets complacent, and the Japanese government puts the remilitarization campaign on hold. Rinse, repeat.
This is not a zero-sum game. The US profits by selling military equipment to Japan; China takes advantage of the instabilty to establish trade dominance; Japan inches ever closer to the remilitarization its right-wing has always wanted. Only the DPRK does not profit, because they are being used as a tool by all three governments.
Is it coordinated? I honesty don't know. It may not be a conspiracy so much as each involved nation acting selfishly and assuming the gambit will always go the same way. What scares me is that this would be the truth, and that no one is really taking the possibility of armed conflict seriously.
There are limits to posturing, although the DPRK has greatly expanded them over the years. Sooner or later one has to make good on their threats, or no one will ever take them seriously. Best Korea has been skating the edge of this, firing missiles into the sea over Hokkaido when it promised to fire on Guam, etc. If their puppeteers lose control, things could get very ugly very fast.